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Sogdiana vs Andijan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Uzbekistan Cup. This one's hard to separate. Sogdiana have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Andijan's 1.21 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Sogdiana slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.38) back Sogdiana to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sogdiana
20%
Draws
44%
Andijan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Andijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sogdiana average 1.67 goals a game right now, well clear of Andijan's 1.21.
  • Model gives Sogdiana a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sogdiana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 17%
Andijan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Andijan
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Andijan
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Sogdiana
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Sogdiana
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Andijan
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Andijan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 39 / 100
Andijan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Andijan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Andijan has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Sogdiana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Andijan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
16 Oct
Bunyodkor
1 : 1
Sogdiana
11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
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Andijan

(Away)
15 Oct
Andijan
0 : 1
Qizilqum
09 Oct
Buxoro
3 : 2
Andijan
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Neftchi Fargona 1
Pakhtakor 0
Bunyodkor 0
Lok. Tashkent 1
Sogdiana 2
Jayxun 0
Andijan 3
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2
OKMK 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Termez Surkhon 0
PFK Guliston 1
Navbahor Namangan 1
Nasaf Qarshi 0
Gazalkent 2
Kokand 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Neftchi Fargona -
Lok. Tashkent -
Sogdiana -
Andijan -
OKMK -
PFK Guliston -
Navbahor Namangan -
Gazalkent -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -