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Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sogdiana play Bunyodkor in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sogdiana averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Bunyodkor averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Sogdiana won 1, Bunyodkor won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Sogdiana and 1.75 for Bunyodkor. This points to a Bunyodkor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sogdiana
17%
Draws
13%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bunyodkor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sogdiana.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Sogdiana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 12%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Bunyodkor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana
1:1
May 26, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Toshmirzaev B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 65 / 100
Bunyodkor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Bunyodkor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Bunyodkor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sogdiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bunyodkor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Bunyodkor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210