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Stadium Background

Sogdiana vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sogdiana host Din. Samarkand in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Din. Samarkand have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Sogdiana have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Sogdiana have won 1 to Din. Samarkand's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.38) back Sogdiana to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sogdiana
30%
Draws
31%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sogdiana's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Din. Samarkand have produced (1.4).
  • Win probability leans Sogdiana's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 17%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Sogdiana
2:1
Aug 20, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Din. Samarkand
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Sogdiana
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Sogdiana
1:0
Jun 28, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Din. Samarkand
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 41 / 100
Din. Samarkand 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Din. Samarkand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Din. Samarkand conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Sogdiana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Sogdiana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Din. Samarkand
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
16 Oct
Bunyodkor
1 : 1
Sogdiana
11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 6

Din. Samarkand

(Away)
17 Oct
Din. Samarkand
1 : 2
Buxoro
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)