Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sogdiana vs Jayxun

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup Zomin Stadion, Zomin
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ivanovic F.
46'
Sub
Urinboev Z. In: Karimov O.
Out: Urinboev Z.
46'
Sub
Mustafokulov K. In: Dzhuraboev Z.
Out: Mustafokulov K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sogdiana
15%
Draws
48%
Jayxun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jayxun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sogdiana come out ahead of Jayxun on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sogdiana a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Sogdiana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sogdiana, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 16%
Jayxun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Jayxun
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.62 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Jayxun
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurashidov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jayxun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 57 / 100
Jayxun 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Jayxun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Jayxun has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Sogdiana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Jayxun
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6

Jayxun

(Away)
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
25 Aug
Jayxun
3 : 1
Yaypan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Neftchi Fargona 1
Pakhtakor 0
Bunyodkor 0
Lok. Tashkent 1
Sogdiana 2
Jayxun 0
Andijan 3
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2
OKMK 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Termez Surkhon 0
PFK Guliston 1
Navbahor Namangan 1
Nasaf Qarshi 0
Gazalkent 2
Kokand 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Neftchi Fargona -
Lok. Tashkent -
Sogdiana -
Andijan -
OKMK -
PFK Guliston -
Navbahor Namangan -
Gazalkent -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -