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Sogdiana vs Lok. Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sogdiana host Lok. Tashkent in the Super League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sogdiana have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Lok. Tashkent's 1.45 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Sogdiana have won 3 to Lok. Tashkent's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.81) back Sogdiana to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sogdiana
20%
Draws
47%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Tashkent haven't matched Sogdiana's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Lok. Tashkent taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 11%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana
1:2
Nov 7, 2022 Super League
Sogdiana vs Lok. Tashkent
2:2
Jun 17, 2022 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Sogdiana
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 27 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sogdiana scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Lok. Tashkent let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sogdiana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Lok. Tashkent
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
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Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)