Sport Picks
Sogdiana vs Neftchi Fargona
Uzbekistan
Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex 
AI Match Summary
Sogdiana host Neftchi Fargona in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Neftchi Fargona have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while Sogdiana have conceded 2.13 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Neftchi Fargona slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.06, favoring Neftchi Fargona. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Sogdiana.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sogdiana | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 24 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sogdiana scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Sogdiana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Neftchi Fargona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 8 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | 0 |