Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sogdiana vs OKMK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ivanovic F.
46'
Sub
Askarov B. In: Micin P.
Out: Askarov B.
46'
Sub
Mavlonkulov S. In: Urinboev Z.
Out: Mavlonkulov S.

AI Match Summary

OKMK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sogdiana
20%
Draws
47%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • OKMK have won more games recently than Sogdiana.
  • Win probability leans Sogdiana's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 20%
OKMK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana OKMK
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs OKMK
1:2
Mar 12, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Sogdiana
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs OKMK
4:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Sogdiana
3:2
Oct 21, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs OKMK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Papava G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurazzakov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 49 / 100
OKMK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sogdiana scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Sogdiana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS OKMK
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6

OKMK

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)