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Sogndal 2 vs Austevoll

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sogndal 2 host Austevoll in the Division 3 - Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sogndal 2 have averaged 2.53 scored and 2.23 conceded recently, against Austevoll's 1.79 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Sogndal 2 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (2.38 - 1.75) back Sogndal 2 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sogndal 2
15%
Draws
59%
Austevoll
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austevoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Austevoll have managed 1.79 goals a game lately — Sogndal 2 are scoring more at 2.53.
  • Model gives Sogndal 2 a 26% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sogndal 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Austevoll Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal 2 Austevoll
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.53 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Austevoll vs Sogndal 2
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 2 56 / 100
Austevoll 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal 2 Austevoll

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sogndal 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Austevoll's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sogndal 2 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal 2 VS Austevoll
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Djerv 1919
2 : 1
Sogndal 2
19 Sept
Sogndal 2
2 : 4
V. Haugesund
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Sogndal 2
7 : 0
Fyllingsdalen
31 Aug
Asane 2
4 : 3
Sogndal 2
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Austevoll

(Away)
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 3
Askoy
12 Sept
Djerv 1919
5 : 2
Austevoll
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 1
Austevoll
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