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Sogndal 2 vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Qasemi A.
12' Event
Hillestad E. L.
86' Event
Kongelf D.

AI Match Summary

Sogndal 2 in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogndal 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sogndal 2
30%
Draws
35%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Varegg haven't matched Sogndal 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sogndal 2's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sogndal 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sogndal 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal 2 Varegg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.45 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Sogndal 2 vs Varegg
3:1
Oct 8, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Sogndal 2
0:5
Jun 16, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Sogndal 2 vs Varegg
1:0
Aug 19, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Varegg vs Sogndal 2
0:4
May 6, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Sogndal 2 vs Varegg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hillestad E. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kongelf D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Qasemi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 2 34 / 100
Varegg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal 2 Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varegg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sogndal 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sogndal 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal 2 VS Varegg
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal 2

(Home)
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Sogndal 2
1 : 3
Fana
10 Aug
Askoy
0 : 0
Sogndal 2
03 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 3
Forde
27 Jul
V. Haugesund
4 : 4
Sogndal 2
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Varegg

(Away)
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
02 Aug
Varegg
4 : 2
Fana
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