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Sogndal vs Kongsvinger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sogndal host Kongsvinger in the OBOS-ligaen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Sogndal have averaged 1.89 scored and 2.04 conceded recently, against Kongsvinger's 3.37 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Kongsvinger slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.13 - 2.69) back Kongsvinger to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sogndal
15%
Draws
64%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kongsvinger lately — more wins on the board than Sogndal.
  • Model gives Kongsvinger a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Kongsvinger
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.89 3.37
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
5:1
Sep 28, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
4:2
May 7, 2025 NM Cup
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
3:4
Nov 2, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 10 / 100
Kongsvinger 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Sogndal scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Sogndal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Kongsvinger
0.88 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
14 Oct
Sogndal
0 : 1
Odds BK
11 Oct
Asane
2 : 1
Sogndal
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
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Kongsvinger

(Away)
14 Oct
Stromsgodset
5 : 1
Kongsvinger
11 Oct
Kongsvinger
6 : 2
Ranheim
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 26 19 2 5 78:40 59
2 Stromsgodset 26 17 6 3 71:33 57
3 Kongsvinger 26 17 5 4 77:42 56
4 Stabaek 26 15 4 7 63:34 49
5 Odds BK 26 13 6 7 53:39 45
6 Bryne 26 12 3 11 35:34 39
7 Hodd 26 10 5 11 42:52 35
8 Egersund 26 9 6 11 39:50 33
9 Ranheim 26 9 5 12 64:65 32
10 Strommen 26 8 6 12 46:58 30
11 Moss 26 8 5 13 40:55 29
12 Lyn 26 8 4 14 40:57 28
13 Sandnes Ulf 26 7 5 14 37:50 26
14 Sogndal 25 6 5 14 39:56 23
15 Asane 26 6 5 15 37:60 22
16 Raufoss 25 6 2 17 28:64 20
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)