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Sogndal vs Raufoss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Asp P. In: Helen O.
Out: Asp P.
46'
Sub
Woxen H. In: Onyango R.
Out: Woxen H.
57' Event
Onyango R.
Assist: Skaanes K.

AI Match Summary

Sogndal in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogndal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sogndal
20%
Draws
16%
Raufoss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sogndal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sogndal haven't matched Raufoss's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sogndal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 18%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Raufoss
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Raufoss
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Sogndal
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Raufoss
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Sogndal
1:3
May 31, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Raufoss
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyango R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arierhi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Raufoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogulj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 85 / 100
Raufoss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Raufoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Raufoss conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sogndal's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Raufoss registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Raufoss
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
18 Oct
Egersund
3 : 3
Sogndal
14 Oct
Sogndal
0 : 1
Odds BK
11 Oct
Asane
2 : 1
Sogndal
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
Page 1 of 6

Raufoss

(Away)
18 Oct
Hodd
5 : 1
Raufoss
14 Oct
Bryne
1 : 1
Raufoss
11 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 2
Moss
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stromsgodset 27 18 6 3 76:33 60
2 Kongsvinger 27 18 5 4 81:42 59
3 Haugesund 27 19 2 6 78:45 59
4 Stabaek 27 16 4 7 64:34 52
5 Odds BK 27 13 6 8 54:41 45
6 Bryne 27 12 3 12 37:38 39
7 Hodd 27 11 5 11 47:53 38
8 Ranheim 27 10 5 12 68:67 35
9 Egersund 27 9 7 11 42:53 34
10 Strommen 27 9 6 12 48:59 33
11 Lyn 27 9 4 14 41:57 31
12 Moss 27 8 5 14 40:56 29
13 Sandnes Ulf 27 7 5 15 37:54 26
14 Sogndal 26 6 6 14 42:59 24
15 Asane 27 6 5 16 37:61 22
16 Raufoss 26 6 2 18 29:69 20
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)