Sport Picks

Norway

OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus

Sogndal

2 - 2

Stabaek

Our Tip

Match Events

Vapne L.

Assist: Skaanes K.

Skaanes K.

Assist: Hintsa O.

30'

Oren M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sogndal

Draws

90%

Stabaek

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Sogndal.
90% — that's where the model lands on Stabaek taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sogndal	Stabaek
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	16
Draws	8	4
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	2.25	2.25
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen

Sogndal vs Stabaek

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Mar 6, 2026 Club Friendly

Stabaek vs Sogndal

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Aug 18, 2025 OBOS-ligaen

Stabaek vs Sogndal

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Jul 26, 2025 OBOS-ligaen

Sogndal vs Stabaek

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly

Sogndal vs Stabaek

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vapne L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Skaanes K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendt W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 10 / 100

Stabaek 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sogndal Stabaek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stabaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sogndal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Stabaek

2.25 Goals Scored 2.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haugesund	14	10	1	3	43:26	31
2	Kongsvinger	14	9	3	2	36:21	30
3	Stromsgodset	14	8	4	2	41:22	28
4	Stabaek	14	8	3	3	32:16	27
5	Odds BK	14	7	3	4	27:19	24
6	Hodd	14	6	3	5	22:19	21
7	Sandnes Ulf	14	6	2	6	22:20	20
8	Ranheim	14	6	2	6	34:34	20
9	Egersund	14	6	1	7	24:25	19
10	Bryne	14	5	2	7	19:23	17
11	Moss	14	5	2	7	23:32	17
12	Sogndal	14	4	3	7	25:36	15
13	Lyn	14	4	1	9	17:30	13
14	Raufoss	14	4	1	9	17:31	13
15	Asane	14	4	1	9	20:30	12
16	Strommen	14	3	2	9	18:36	11