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Sohar vs Al-Rustaq

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Al Muqbali S.
85' Event
Al-Mashaikhi A.

AI Match Summary

Sohar in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sohar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sohar
30%
Draws
19%
Al-Rustaq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sohar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sohar have won more games recently than Al-Rustaq.
  • Model gives Sohar a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sohar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sohar Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Rustaq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sohar Al-Rustaq
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al-Rustaq
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 Sultan Cup
Al-Rustaq vs Sohar
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 FA Cup
Sohar vs Al-Rustaq
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Sohar
2:4
Jan 23, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Sohar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Muqbali S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Mashaikhi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Rustaq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sohar 77 / 100
Al-Rustaq 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sohar Al-Rustaq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sohar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sohar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sohar scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Al-Rustaq let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sohar VS Al-Rustaq
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sohar

(Home)
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
19 Aug
Sohar
2 : 1
Saham
Page 1 of 7

Al-Rustaq

(Away)
23 May
Al-Rustaq
0 : 1
Oman Club
18 May
Al Khaboora
3 : 3
Al-Rustaq
12 May
Al-Rustaq
2 : 0
Ibri
04 May
Al-Shabab
1 : 0
Al-Rustaq
26 Apr
Al-Rustaq
2 : 4
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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