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Sokol Brezovicka vs Gelnica

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2024/2025
Wed, Aug 7, 2024
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sokol Brezovicka play Gelnica in the Slovak Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sokol Brezovicka averaged 2.2 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Gelnica averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Sokol Brezovicka won 0, Gelnica won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Sokol Brezovicka and 1.98 for Gelnica. This points to a Gelnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sokol Brezovicka
15%
Draws
47%
Gelnica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Sokol Brezovicka picked up more points recently compared to Gelnica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.98 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Sokol Brezovicka Clean Sheet 10%
Gelnica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Brezovicka Gelnica
Matches Played 5 12
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.2 1
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.20 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Slovak Cup
Sokol Brezovicka vs Gelnica
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Brezovicka 36 / 100
Gelnica 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Brezovicka Gelnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gelnica or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sokol Brezovicka attacking → ← attacking Gelnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sokol Brezovicka scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Gelnica let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sokol Brezovicka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gelnica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 15
2.20 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
3.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00