Sport Picks
Sokol Ostroda vs MKS Mlawa Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
24'
24'
Stryjewski Ma.
39'
39'
Swiety L.
(Penalty)
74'
74'
Stryjewski Ma.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 game between Sokol Ostroda and MKS Mlawa finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MKS Mlawa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokol Ostroda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and MKS Mlawa come out ahead of Sokol Ostroda on wins alone.
- Sokol Ostroda are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and MKS Mlawa have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sokol Ostroda | MKS Mlawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
MKS Mlawa vs Sokol Ostroda
4:0
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs MKS Mlawa
1:4
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Sokol Ostroda
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
MKS Mlawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Ma.
3 Goals Assists Leader Stryjewski Mi.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sokol Ostroda 34 / 100
MKS Mlawa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sokol Ostroda MKS Mlawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.
Sokol Ostroda's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
MKS Mlawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
MKS Mlawa lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sokol Ostroda VS MKS Mlawa
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Sokol Ostroda
(Home) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
24 May
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13 May
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Legionowo
Page 1 of 3
MKS Mlawa
(Away) 25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
22 Aug
LKS Lomza
0 : 0 MKS Mlawa
14 Aug
KTS Weszlo
5 : 1 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
