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Stadium Background

Sokol Sieniawa vs Czarni Polaniec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Kwaczreliszwili S.
76' Event
Kielbasa B.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 game between Sokol Sieniawa and Czarni Polaniec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sokol Sieniawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sokol Sieniawa
40%
Draws
29%
Czarni Polaniec
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Czarni Polaniec come out ahead of Sokol Sieniawa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sokol Sieniawa Clean Sheet 18%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Sieniawa Czarni Polaniec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Sokol Sieniawa vs Czarni Polaniec
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sokol Sieniawa
4:1
Apr 16, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Sokol Sieniawa vs Czarni Polaniec
1:3
Sep 10, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sokol Sieniawa
0:1
Apr 12, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sokol Sieniawa vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Sieniawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwaczreliszwili S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kielbasa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Sieniawa 32 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Sieniawa Czarni Polaniec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sokol Sieniawa scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Czarni Polaniec has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Czarni Polaniec lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Czarni Polaniec
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokol Sieniawa

(Home)
21 Feb
MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
2 : 4
Sokol Sieniawa
15 Feb
Sokol Sieniawa
2 : 1
Korona Rzeszow
12 Feb
Jaroslaw
4 : 2
Sokol Sieniawa
20 Jul
Sokol Sieniawa
0 : 1
Jaroslaw
08 Jun
Sokol Sieniawa
1 : 2
Wiazownica
Page 1 of 6

Czarni Polaniec

(Away)
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0
Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3
Avia Swidnik
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)