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Sokol Sieniawa vs KS Karpaty Krosno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Demyanenko D.
25' Event
Martinez A.
54' Event
Ahmedov B.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 game between Sokol Sieniawa and KS Karpaty Krosno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KS Karpaty Krosno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sokol Sieniawa
6%
Draws
90%
KS Karpaty Krosno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KS Karpaty Krosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sokol Sieniawa come out ahead of KS Karpaty Krosno on wins alone.
  • Model gives KS Karpaty Krosno a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and KS Karpaty Krosno have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sokol Sieniawa Clean Sheet 10%
KS Karpaty Krosno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Sieniawa KS Karpaty Krosno
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Sokol Sieniawa vs KS Karpaty Krosno
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Sokol Sieniawa
0:1
Apr 20, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Sokol Sieniawa vs KS Karpaty Krosno
1:2
Sep 9, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Sokol Sieniawa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Sieniawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

KS Karpaty Krosno Compare

Top Goalscorer Demyanenko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmedov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Sieniawa 10 / 100
KS Karpaty Krosno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Sieniawa KS Karpaty Krosno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Karpaty Krosno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Sokol Sieniawa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Sokol Sieniawa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Sieniawa VS KS Karpaty Krosno
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokol Sieniawa

(Home)
21 Feb
MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
2 : 4
Sokol Sieniawa
15 Feb
Sokol Sieniawa
2 : 1
Korona Rzeszow
12 Feb
Jaroslaw
4 : 2
Sokol Sieniawa
20 Jul
Sokol Sieniawa
0 : 1
Jaroslaw
08 Jun
Sokol Sieniawa
1 : 2
Wiazownica
Page 1 of 7

KS Karpaty Krosno

(Away)
12 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
08 Feb
Unia Tarnow
1 : 4
KS Karpaty Krosno
01 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
4 : 1
Igloopol Debica
08 Jun
KS Karpaty Krosno
0 : 1
Wisloka Debica
01 Jun
Unia Tarnow
1 : 4
KS Karpaty Krosno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)