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Sol de America vs Sportivo Carapegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kovacs E.
9'
23' Event
Leguizamon Samudio F. S.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Sol de America and Sportivo Carapegua finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sol de America
30%
Draws
37%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sol de America come out ahead of Sportivo Carapegua on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sol de America's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sol de America Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de America Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 14 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sol de America vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:4
Jul 5, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Sol de America
1:1
Jul 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Sol de America
1:5
Apr 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sol de America vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:1
Jul 23, 2023 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Sol de America
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de America Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leguizamon Samudio F. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de America 36 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de America Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sol de America scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Sportivo Carapegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sol de America stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sol de America VS Sportivo Carapegua
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sol de America

(Home)
05 Oct
12 de Junio
1 : 1
Sol de America
26 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Encarnacion FC
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Deportivo Santani
3 : 0
Sol de America
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 7

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0
Benjamin Aceval
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
5 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
6 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
7 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
8 Independiente FBC 27 10 10 7 40:35 40
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 27 6 7 14 22:36 25
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)