Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Sol De Mayo

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sol de Mayo play Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sol de Mayo averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 0.77 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. In past meetings, Sol de Mayo won 0, Olimpo Bahia Blanca won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Sol de Mayo and 0.69 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. This points to a Olimpo Bahia Blanca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Sol de Mayo

35%

Draws

35%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Sol de Mayo picked up more points recently compared to Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 28%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sol de Mayo	Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	11	12
Draws	6	12
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.03	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.24	0.65
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal

Sol de Mayo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 12, 2026 Torneo Federal

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Sol de Mayo

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal

Sol de Mayo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Apr 16, 2025 Torneo Federal

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Sol de Mayo

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Jul 7, 2024 Torneo Federal

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Sol de Mayo

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalazar D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 33 / 100

Olimpo Bahia Blanca 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sol de Mayo Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olimpo Bahia Blanca or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sol de Mayo attacking → ← attacking Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sol de Mayo scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca let in goals in 35% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Sol de Mayo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 48

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9