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Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Sol De Mayo, Viedma
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Kucich M.
65'
Sub
Jara S. In: Otero G.
Out: Jara S.
67'
Sub
Sosa D. In: Benitez M.
Out: Sosa D.

AI Match Summary

Sol de Mayo in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sol de Mayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sol de Mayo
15%
Draws
85%
Santamarina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santamarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sol de Mayo have won more games recently than Santamarina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 19%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de Mayo Santamarina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
1:0
May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jara G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Santamarina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 32 / 100
Santamarina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de Mayo Santamarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santamarina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santamarina let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Santamarina's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sol de Mayo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sol de Mayo VS Santamarina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sol de Mayo

(Home)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1
Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 6

Santamarina

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0
Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)