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Sol de Mayo vs Villa Mitre Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Sol De Mayo, Viedma
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Escobar M.
16' Event
Jara S.
24'
Escobar M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sol de Mayo and Villa Mitre finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sol de Mayo
30%
Draws
70%
Villa Mitre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa Mitre come out ahead of Sol de Mayo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Villa Mitre's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Villa Mitre here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 14%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de Mayo Villa Mitre
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 14
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.86 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Villa Mitre
3:3
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Villa Mitre
0:3
Jun 9, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Villa Mitre
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Villa Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayala V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 15 / 100
Villa Mitre 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de Mayo Villa Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Mitre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sol de Mayo found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Villa Mitre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 37% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Villa Mitre has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sol de Mayo VS Villa Mitre
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sol de Mayo

(Home)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1
Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 6

Villa Mitre

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Alvarado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)