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Sola vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
1 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kjostvedt E.
70' Event
Radgowski M.
77' Event
Alsaker Skjefras O.

AI Match Summary

Vag in this Division 3 - Group 5 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sola
20%
Draws
44%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Sola.
  • Win probability leans Vag's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sola Clean Sheet 20%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sola Vag
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.73
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Sola vs Vag
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Sola
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sola Compare

Top Goalscorer Alsaker Skjefras O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjostvedt E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radgowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sola 20 / 100
Vag 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sola Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sola found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Sola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vag
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sola

(Home)
26 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
5 : 1
Sola
20 Oct
Sola
4 : 5
Viking 2
12 Oct
Haugesund 2
1 : 1
Sola
04 Oct
Torvastad IL
1 : 1
Sola
27 Sept
Sola
3 : 2
Brodd
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Vag

(Away)
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
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