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Solares vs UM Escobedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Martinez I.
43' Event
Pena G. B.
79' Event
Martinez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Solares and UM Escobedo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Solares
20%
Draws
32%
UM Escobedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Solares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UM Escobedo come out ahead of Solares on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Solares's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UM Escobedo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Solares Clean Sheet 18%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solares UM Escobedo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs UM Escobedo
0:3
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Solares
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs UM Escobedo
0:1
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Solares
1:0
Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs UM Escobedo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pena G. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solares 41 / 100
UM Escobedo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solares UM Escobedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UM Escobedo conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: UM Escobedo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solares's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Solares VS UM Escobedo
0.2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solares

(Home)
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
11 May
Guarnizo
4 : 2
Solares
05 May
Solares
3 : 2
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

UM Escobedo

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)