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Soligorsk vs Orsha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soligorsk host Orsha in the Pershaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Orsha have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Soligorsk have conceded 1.59 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Orsha slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.13 - 0.88) back Soligorsk to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Soligorsk
30%
Draws
27%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soligorsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Soligorsk lately — more wins on the board than Orsha.
  • Win probability leans Soligorsk's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Soligorsk Clean Sheet 20%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soligorsk Orsha
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Soligorsk
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soligorsk 67 / 100
Orsha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soligorsk Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soligorsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Soligorsk scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Orsha let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Soligorsk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Soligorsk VS Orsha
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Soligorsk

(Home)
01 Nov
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 2
Soligorsk
24 Oct
Soligorsk
4 : 0
Smorgon
17 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 1
Soligorsk
10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1
BumProm Gomel
03 Oct
FC Slonim
1 : 1
Soligorsk
Page 1 of 6

Orsha

(Away)
31 Oct
Orsha
3 : 2
BumProm Gomel
24 Oct
FC Minsk 2
1 : 5
Orsha
17 Oct
Orsha
2 : 3
Osipovichi
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 30 11 5 14 43:45 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Uni X Labs 31 8 9 14 32:40 33
15 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)