Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Solihull Moors vs Carlisle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Damson Park, Solihull
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Solihull Moors host Carlisle in the National League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Carlisle have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Solihull Moors have conceded 1.89 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Solihull Moors slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.75, favoring Carlisle. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Solihull Moors
15%
Draws
46%
Carlisle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlisle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carlisle lately — more wins on the board than Solihull Moors.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Solihull Moors Clean Sheet 12%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solihull Moors Carlisle
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.29 2
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Solihull Moors vs Carlisle
3:3
Aug 19, 2025 National League
Carlisle vs Solihull Moors
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solihull Moors 29 / 100
Carlisle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solihull Moors Carlisle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solihull Moors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solihull Moors scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Carlisle conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Solihull Moors remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Solihull Moors VS Carlisle
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solihull Moors

(Home)
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
03 Oct
Solihull Moors
0 : 2
Halifax
29 Sept
Woking
2 : 4
Solihull Moors
26 Sept
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1
Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6

Carlisle

(Away)
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)