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Sollentuna vs Karlbergs

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AI Match Summary

Sollentuna play Karlbergs in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sollentuna averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Karlbergs averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sollentuna won 2, Karlbergs won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Sollentuna and 1.06 for Karlbergs. This points to a Karlbergs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sollentuna
39%
Draws
30%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlbergs has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sollentuna.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sollentuna Clean Sheet 20%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sollentuna Karlbergs
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 14 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Karlbergs
2:2
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Sollentuna
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Karlbergs vs Sollentuna
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sollentuna 32 / 100
Karlbergs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sollentuna Karlbergs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sollentuna scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Karlbergs let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sollentuna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Karlbergs lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sollentuna VS Karlbergs
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%