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Soller vs Alaior

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Soller Logo

Soller

0 - 4
FT
Alaior Logo

Alaior

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Mercadal E. G.
51' Event
Lazaro J.
76' Event
Huescar R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alaior in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Soller
30%
Draws
23%
Alaior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Alaior have won more games recently than Soller.
  • Win probability leans Alaior's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Soller Clean Sheet 16%
Alaior Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soller Alaior
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Alaior
0:4
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Soller
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soller Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alaior Compare

Top Goalscorer Huescar R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mercadal E. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soller 28 / 100
Alaior 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soller Alaior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaior let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Alaior lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Soller found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Soller VS Alaior
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Soller

(Home)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

Alaior

(Away)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)