Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Soller vs Arenal

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bonet M.
49' Event
Plomer M.
74' Event
Magana C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Soller
30%
Draws
23%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Soller average 0.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Arenal's 0.83.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Soller Clean Sheet 12%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soller Arenal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 8
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Arenal
3:3
Dec 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Soller
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soller Compare

Top Goalscorer Plomer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magana C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Arenal Compare

Top Goalscorer Movilla D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bonet M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soller 35 / 100
Arenal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soller Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenal conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Arenal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Soller found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Soller VS Arenal
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Soller

(Home)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

Arenal

(Away)
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2
Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Arenal
1 : 2
Santanyi
20 Apr
Manacor
3 : 1
Arenal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)