Sport Picks
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
Australia & Oceania
OFC Nations Cup VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila 
Match Events
33'
33'
Clark J.
45'
45'
Sub
Hou A. In: Leslie B.
Out: Hou A.
45'
45'
Tahioa M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanuatu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vanuatu haven't matched Solomon Islands's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Vanuatu's way, sitting at 80%.
- Solomon Islands have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Solomon Islands, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Solomon Islands | Vanuatu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 20, 2025 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Solomon Islands
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
4:1
Jun 15, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
0:1
Oct 11, 2023 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
1:0
Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Solomon Islands Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Vanuatu Compare
Top Goalscorer Tangis K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Solomon Islands 10 / 100
Vanuatu 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Solomon Islands Vanuatu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanuatu let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.
Attacking prowess: Solomon Islands scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solomon Islands has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Solomon Islands VS Vanuatu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Solomon Islands
(Home) 21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2 Solomon Islands
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3 Solomon Islands
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2 Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10 Bulgaria
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10 Bulgaria
21 Dec
Solomon Islands
1 : 3 Fiji
18 Dec
Solomon Islands
2 : 3 Papua New Guinea
12 Dec
Solomon Islands
2 : 0 Solomon Islands U23
09 Dec
Solomon Islands
4 : 1 Vanuatu
Page 1 of 3
Vanuatu
(Away) 21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1 Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1 Vanuatu
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2 Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1 Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3 Vanuatu
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1 Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1 Vanuatu
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3 Vanuatu
11 Nov
Papua New Guinea U20
1 : 1 Vanuatu
15 Dec
Solomon Islands U23
1 : 3 Vanuatu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Vanuatu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 4 | New Caledonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup (Play Offs)
