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Solvesborgs vs IFK Berga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
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Match Events

40' Event
Mansson K.
47' Event
Crona E.
69'
Ingemarsson T. T. O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Solvesborgs and IFK Berga finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Solvesborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Solvesborgs
15%
Draws
51%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Berga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Berga's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Solvesborgs have produced (1.53).
  • Model gives IFK Berga a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Solvesborgs Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solvesborgs IFK Berga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs IFK Berga
3:2
May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Solvesborgs
3:2
May 27, 2025 Svenska Cupen
IFK Berga vs Solvesborgs
1:3
Jul 7, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs IFK Berga
4:2
Jun 24, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Solvesborgs
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solvesborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Crona E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindqvist O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solvesborgs 10 / 100
IFK Berga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solvesborgs IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Berga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Berga conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Solvesborgs found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solvesborgs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solvesborgs VS IFK Berga
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Solvesborgs

(Home)
02 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 0
Solvesborgs
27 Sept
Solvesborgs
3 : 2
IFK Berga
20 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
4 : 1
Solvesborgs
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
05 Sept
Rappe GOIF
2 : 3
Solvesborgs
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IFK Berga

(Away)
04 Oct
IFK Berga
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
27 Sept
Solvesborgs
3 : 2
IFK Berga
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)