Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somalia U17 vs Algeria U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2013
Fri, Oct 12, 2012
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2013. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Somalia U17 have averaged 0.75 scored and 2.58 conceded recently, against Algeria U17's 1.41 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Somalia U17 have won 0 to Algeria U17's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2023, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.89 vs 2.56, favoring Algeria U17. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Somalia U17
15%
Draws
85%
Algeria U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeria U17 lately — more wins on the board than Somalia U17.
  • Model gives Algeria U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Algeria U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Somalia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Algeria U17 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somalia U17 Algeria U17
Matches Played 12 27
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Algeria U17 vs Somalia U17
2:0
Oct 26, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Algeria U17 vs Somalia U17
0:0
Oct 12, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Somalia U17 vs Algeria U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia U17 10 / 100
Algeria U17 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somalia U17 Algeria U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Algeria U17 conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Somalia U17 scored in 50% of their last 12 games.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Algeria U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somalia U17 VS Algeria U17
0.4 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia U17

(Home)
07 Apr
Senegal U17
2 : 0
Somalia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Tunisia U17
25 Mar
Ivory Coast U17
7 : 1
Somalia U17
05 May
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 3

Algeria U17

(Away)
24 May
Tanzania U17
4 : 3
Algeria U17
20 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Algeria U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2
Algeria U17
14 May
Algeria U17
2 : 2
Ghana U17
16 Jun
Algeria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U17 -
TBD -
Reunion U17 0
Namibia U17 6
Ethiopia U17 6
Central Africa U17 0
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Botswana U17 3
Malawi U17 3
TBD -
Rwanda U17 -
Sudan U17 0
Somalia U17 1
Somalia U17 -
Algeria U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Chad U17 6
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Tanzania U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Zimbabwe U17 4
Mozambique U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Angola U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 0
Benin U17 3
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Nigeria U17 10
Niger U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Mauritius U17 6
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U17 7
Namibia U17 0
Ethiopia U17 4
Tunisia U17 5
Botswana U17 2
Rwanda U17 1
Sudan U17 0
Algeria U17 3
Senegal U17 6
Sierra Leone U17 0
Chad U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 6
Tanzania U17 6
Egypt U17 0
Zimbabwe U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 5
Angola U17 4
Cameroon U17 2
Benin U17 5
South Africa U17 2
Zambia U17 1
Gambia U17 0
Ghana U17 6
Nigeria U17 7
Guinea U17 0
Mauritius U17 3
Mali U17 6
Final
Burkina Faso U17 2
Tunisia U17 4
Botswana U17 3
Algeria U17 2
Senegal U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 3
Tanzania U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 3
Benin U17 2
South Africa U17 3
Ghana U17 5
Nigeria U17 4
Mali U17 0