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Somerset Trojans vs Paget - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bermuda Bermuda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somerset Trojans host Paget in the Premier League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Somerset Trojans have averaged 1.32 scored and 2.18 conceded recently, against Paget's 1.22 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Somerset Trojans have won 2 to Paget's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.27 - 0.83) back Paget to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Somerset Trojans
30%
Draws
31%
Paget
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somerset Trojans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paget lately — more wins on the board than Somerset Trojans.
  • Model gives Somerset Trojans a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Somerset Trojans Clean Sheet 20%
Paget Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somerset Trojans Paget
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Premier League
Paget vs Somerset Trojans
1:2
Nov 12, 2023 Premier League
Somerset Trojans vs Paget
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Premier League
Paget vs Somerset Trojans
1:1
Oct 28, 2018 Premier League
Somerset Trojans vs Paget
0:3
Jan 14, 2007 Premier League
Paget vs Somerset Trojans
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somerset Trojans 76 / 100
Paget 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somerset Trojans Paget

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somerset Trojans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Somerset Trojans scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Paget's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Somerset Trojans stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somerset Trojans VS Paget
0.67 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somerset Trojans

(Home)
20 Sept
Devonshire Cougars
2 : 2
Somerset Trojans
31 Mar
North Village Rams
3 : 2
Somerset Trojans
17 Mar
Paget
1 : 2
Somerset Trojans
10 Mar
Hamilton Parish
3 : 3
Somerset Trojans
03 Mar
Dandy Town Hornets
3 : 1
Somerset Trojans
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Paget

(Away)
19 Sept
North Village Rams
2 : 0
Paget
05 Apr
Paget
1 : 1
North Village Rams
29 Mar
Paget
1 : 4
Devonshire Colts
22 Mar
PHC Zebras
1 : 0
Paget
08 Mar
Paget
3 : 1
Devonshire Cougars
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