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Somorrostro vs SCD Durango

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somorrostro in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somorrostro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Somorrostro
30%
Draws
31%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somorrostro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SCD Durango lately — more wins on the board than Somorrostro.
  • Win probability leans Somorrostro's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 17%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somorrostro SCD Durango
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Somorrostro
0:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs SCD Durango
3:1
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs SCD Durango
3:2
Sep 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Somorrostro
1:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs SCD Durango
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somorrostro 41 / 100
SCD Durango 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somorrostro SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Somorrostro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

SCD Durango's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Somorrostro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Durango
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Somorrostro

(Home)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
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SCD Durango

(Away)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
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