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Somozas vs Alondras

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cambon J.
49' Event
Cambon J.
90' Event
Luismi

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Somozas
30%
Draws
42%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alondras have won more games recently than Somozas.
  • Model gives Somozas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Alondras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Alondras
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.06 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Alondras
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Somozas
1:3
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Alondras
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Somozas
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Alondras
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambon J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer Luismi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 46 / 100
Alondras 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Alondras has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Somozas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Alondras
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

Alondras

(Away)
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)