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Somozas vs Celtiga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Leonardo I.
9' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Somozas and Celtiga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Somozas
6%
Draws
4%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Celtiga haven't matched Somozas's recent run of results.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Celtiga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Celtiga
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Somozas
5:0
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Somozas
2:0
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Celtiga
1:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Celtiga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 95 / 100
Celtiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Celtiga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Somozas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Celtiga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Celtiga
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Celtiga

(Away)
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)