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Somozas vs Compostela

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Guisande A.
81' Event
Cambon J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Somozas
44%
Draws
20%
Compostela
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Somozas haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Compostela here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Somozas Clean Sheet 15%
Compostela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Compostela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Compostela
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Somozas
3:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Compostela
1:2
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Somozas
3:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Somozas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Guisande A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 35 / 100
Compostela 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Compostela let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Somozas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Compostela
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Compostela

(Away)
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)