Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Guisande A.
81'
81'
Cambon J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Somozas haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
- Model gives Somozas a 35% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Compostela here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Compostela Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Somozas | Compostela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Compostela
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Somozas
3:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Compostela
1:2
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Somozas
3:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Somozas
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Somozas Compare
Top Goalscorer Cambon J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51
Compostela Compare
Top Goalscorer Guisande A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Somozas 50 / 100
Compostela 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Somozas Compostela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Somozas found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Compostela let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Somozas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Somozas VS Compostela
0.8 Goals Scored 1.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Somozas
(Home) 13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0 Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2 CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2 Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Compostela
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2 CD Boiro
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Compostela
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Viveiro
05 Apr
Somozas
1 : 2 Montaneros
Page 1 of 3
Compostela
(Away) 13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0 Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2 Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3 Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2 Estradense
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0 Compostela
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1 Compostela
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0 Compostela
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1 Compostela
16 May
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 Compostela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
