Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Rodriguez I.
46'
46'
Naval A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gran Pena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gran Pena lately — more wins on the board than Somozas.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Gran Pena taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Somozas Clean Sheet 14%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Somozas | Gran Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Gran Pena
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Somozas
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Somozas
0:4
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Gran Pena
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Gran Pena
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Somozas Compare
Top Goalscorer Naval A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gran Pena Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Somozas 10 / 100
Gran Pena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Somozas Gran Pena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Somozas scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Gran Pena has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Somozas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Somozas VS Gran Pena
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Somozas
(Home) 13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0 Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2 CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2 Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Compostela
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2 CD Boiro
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Compostela
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Viveiro
05 Apr
Somozas
1 : 2 Montaneros
Page 1 of 3
Gran Pena
(Away) 13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2 Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2 Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5 Gran Pena
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4 Gran Pena
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2 Gran Pena
10 May
Noia
1 : 5 Gran Pena
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4 Gran Pena
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0 Gran Pena
05 Apr
Viveiro
2 : 1 Gran Pena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
