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Somozas vs Pontevedra B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Outeirino I.
90' Event
Santalla A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Somozas and Pontevedra B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Somozas
35%
Draws
35%
Pontevedra B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Somozas Clean Sheet 14%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Pontevedra B
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.91 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Pontevedra B
1:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Pontevedra B
4:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Somozas
2:0
Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Somozas
1:2
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Pontevedra B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Santalla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pontevedra B Compare

Top Goalscorer Outeirino I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 35 / 100
Pontevedra B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Pontevedra B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra B has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Somozas scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Somozas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Pontevedra B
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

Pontevedra B

(Away)
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
12 May
Somozas
4 : 0
Pontevedra B
05 May
Pontevedra B
2 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Sarriana 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Alondras 4 3 0 1 10:8 9
4 Racing Club Villalbes 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
5 Antela 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
6 Barco 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Lalin 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
8 Atletico Arteixo 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Pontevedra B 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
10 Estradense 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
11 Portonovo SD 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Gran Pena 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
13 Silva SD 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
14 Arenteiro 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Somozas 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
16 Celtiga 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
17 Montaneros 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
18 Viveiro 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)