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Somozas vs Valladares Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Crespo M.
58' Event
Freiria M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Somozas and Valladares finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Somozas
35%
Draws
43%
Valladares
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valladares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Somozas Clean Sheet 20%
Valladares Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Valladares
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 13 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Valladares
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Somozas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Valladares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 32 / 100
Valladares 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Valladares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valladares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Somozas scored in 73% of their last 37 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Somozas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
26 Sept
Antela
1 : 0
Somozas
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 8

Valladares

(Away)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)