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Somuz Falticeni vs CSM Bacau

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 game between Somuz Falticeni and CSM Bacau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Bacau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Somuz Falticeni
6%
Draws
4%
CSM Bacau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Somuz Falticeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Bacau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Somuz Falticeni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSM Bacau have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Somuz Falticeni Clean Sheet 19%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somuz Falticeni CSM Bacau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Somuz Falticeni vs CSM Bacau
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Somuz Falticeni
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Somuz Falticeni vs CSM Bacau
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Somuz Falticeni
1:0
Nov 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Somuz Falticeni
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somuz Falticeni 85 / 100
CSM Bacau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somuz Falticeni CSM Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somuz Falticeni found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

CSM Bacau has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Somuz Falticeni has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Somuz Falticeni VS CSM Bacau
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Somuz Falticeni

(Home)
30 Jul
Somuz Falticeni
0 : 3
Soimii Gura Humorului
23 May
Ceahlaul II
0 : 1
Somuz Falticeni
17 May
Somuz Falticeni
3 : 0
Bucovina Radauti
10 May
CSM Vaslui
2 : 1
Somuz Falticeni
03 May
Somuz Falticeni
1 : 1
ACS USV Iasi
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CSM Bacau

(Away)
30 Jul
CSM Vaslui
15 : 0
CSM Bacau
17 May
CSM Bacau
2 : 3
FC Bacau
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
03 May
Stiinta Miroslava
3 : 2
CSM Bacau
25 Apr
FC Bacau
3 : 0
CSM Bacau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Bacau18142250:1144
2Stiinta Miroslava18114355:2537
3CSM Bacau18103525:2333
4Gloria Ultra1886426:1230
5CSM Vaslui1893635:3230
6Bucovina Radauti1874720:2625
7Somuz Falticeni1846817:2818
8Soimii Gura Humorului18351017:3514
9ACS USV Iasi18331219:4412
10Ceahlaul II18221410:388
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)