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Son Ferrer vs CD Ferrerias

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Son Ferrer in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Son Ferrer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Son Ferrer
15%
Draws
85%
CD Ferrerias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ferrerias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Ferrerias lately — more wins on the board than Son Ferrer.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 10%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Son Ferrer CD Ferrerias
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 28 22
Goals Scored 0.61 0.67
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs CD Ferrerias
3:1
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Son Ferrer
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Son Ferrer 30 / 100
CD Ferrerias 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Son Ferrer CD Ferrerias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ferrerias has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: CD Ferrerias registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Son Ferrer found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Son Ferrer VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Son Ferrer

(Home)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 7

CD Ferrerias

(Away)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)