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Son Ferrer vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Son Ferrer and Llosetense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Son Ferrer
20%
Draws
80%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llosetense come out ahead of Son Ferrer on wins alone.
  • Model gives Llosetense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Llosetense have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 10%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Son Ferrer Llosetense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 1 10
Losses 28 8
Goals Scored 0.53 1.84
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Son Ferrer
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Llosetense
0:5
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Llosetense
0:1
Jan 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Son Ferrer
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Son Ferrer 10 / 100
Llosetense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Son Ferrer Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Son Ferrer scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Llosetense has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llosetense
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Son Ferrer

(Home)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6

Llosetense

(Away)
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)