Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sona vs Real Calepina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Coulibaly B.
45' Event
Denis G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sona
35%
Draws
28%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Real Calepina have won more games recently than Sona.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sona Clean Sheet 20%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Real Calepina
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 13
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Real Calepina
1:1
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Sona
3:1
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Real Calepina
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Sona
3:3
Mar 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Sona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Denis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 36 / 100
Real Calepina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Real Calepina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Sona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sona found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Calepina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

Real Calepina

(Away)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)