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Sona vs Vis Nova Giussano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Calmi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Sona and Vis Nova Giussano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vis Nova Giussano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sona
30%
Draws
23%
Vis Nova Giussano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vis Nova Giussano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sona Clean Sheet 18%
Vis Nova Giussano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Vis Nova Giussano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Vis Nova Giussano
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Sona
2:3
May 30, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Sona
1:1
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Vis Nova Giussano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vis Nova Giussano Compare

Top Goalscorer Calmi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 85 / 100
Vis Nova Giussano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Vis Nova Giussano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Nova Giussano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Sona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vis Nova Giussano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sona VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Vis Nova Giussano

(Away)
15 May
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Vis Nova Giussano
08 May
Vis Nova Giussano
1 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
01 May
USD Casatese
6 : 2
Vis Nova Giussano
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
23 Apr
Sangiuliano City
1 : 0
Vis Nova Giussano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)