Sport Picks
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
Burkina Faso
Premier League 2025/2026 Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou 
Match Events
2'
2'
Konate Y.
34'
34'
Kone A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sonabel Ouagadougou and ASF Dioulasso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonabel Ouagadougou.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ASF Dioulasso come out ahead of Sonabel Ouagadougou on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sonabel Ouagadougou's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sonabel Ouagadougou | ASF Dioulasso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Oct 31, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Jun 14, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare
Top Goalscorer Konate Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
ASF Dioulasso Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sonabel Ouagadougou 50 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sonabel Ouagadougou ASF Dioulasso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sonabel Ouagadougou scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
ASF Dioulasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
ASF Dioulasso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sonabel Ouagadougou VS ASF Dioulasso
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sonabel Ouagadougou
(Home) 26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 1 CFFEB
04 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 0 Kadiogo
Page 1 of 4
ASF Dioulasso
(Away) 27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0 Kadiogo
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2 ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2 ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2 Real Du Faso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2 ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2 ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
11 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
2 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 47:15 | 69 |
| 2 | USFA | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 31:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Sporting Cascades | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Douanes | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 29:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Majestic | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | 43 |
| 6 | CFFEB | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Salitas | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:31 | 40 |
| 8 | Kadiogo | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:27 | 38 |
| 9 | ASFA Yennega | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | 38 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Du Faso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 12 | ASF Dioulasso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:31 | 37 |
| 13 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 24:28 | 36 |
| 14 | Etoile Filante | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11:28 | 27 |
| 16 | AJE Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:37 | 26 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
