Sport Picks
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Burkina Faso
Premier League Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou 
Match Events
72'
72'
Kane M.
Assist: Magane B.
AI Match Summary
ASF Dioulasso in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASF Dioulasso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: ASF Dioulasso at 0.97 per game, Sonabel Ouagadougou at 0.9.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Sonabel Ouagadougou taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sonabel Ouagadougou | ASF Dioulasso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
0:1
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Oct 31, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
ASF Dioulasso Compare
Top Goalscorer Kane M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sonabel Ouagadougou 68 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sonabel Ouagadougou ASF Dioulasso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sonabel Ouagadougou scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
ASF Dioulasso has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
ASF Dioulasso lost 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sonabel Ouagadougou VS ASF Dioulasso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sonabel Ouagadougou
(Home) 01 Nov
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
24 Oct
Rahimo
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 Vitesse
10 Oct
Sporting Cascades
0 : 3 Sonabel Ouagadougou
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 US Comoe
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
18 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 Vitesse
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 US Comoe
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
Page 1 of 3
ASF Dioulasso
(Away) 01 Nov
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
25 Oct
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2 Vitesse
17 Oct
US Comoe
2 : 4 ASF Dioulasso
09 Oct
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 1 Majestic
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
17 Oct
US Comoe
2 : 4 ASF Dioulasso
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2 ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2 ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 2 | USFA | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Vitesse | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 4 | FocuSport | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 5 | AS Douanes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Real Du Faso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 7 | CFFEB | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 8 | ASFA Yennega | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Sporting Cascades | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 10 | ASF Dioulasso | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Majestic | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Maya | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 14 | US Comoe | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Salitas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Kadiogo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
