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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante Prediction & H2H Stats

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sonabel Ouagadougou and Etoile Filante finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
20%
Draws
46%
Etoile Filante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonabel Ouagadougou come out ahead of Etoile Filante on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Etoile Filante's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou Etoile Filante
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:2
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:1
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante
2:0
Feb 21, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 24 / 100
Etoile Filante 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou Etoile Filante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile Filante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Etoile Filante conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sonabel Ouagadougou went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS Etoile Filante
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Home)
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Page 1 of 6

Etoile Filante

(Away)
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Etoile Filante
2 : 0
Majestic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)