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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs US Comoe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ouango J.
39' Event
Ouro H.
Assist: Balima D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sonabel Ouagadougou and US Comoe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonabel Ouagadougou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
15%
Draws
21%
US Comoe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • US Comoe haven't matched Sonabel Ouagadougou's recent run of results.
  • Sonabel Ouagadougou are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
US Comoe Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou US Comoe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs US Comoe
2:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
US Comoe vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs US Comoe
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs US Comoe
1:2
Dec 15, 2018 Premier League
US Comoe vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouango J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouro H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

US Comoe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 95 / 100
US Comoe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou US Comoe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

US Comoe has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sonabel Ouagadougou stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS US Comoe
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Home)
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
US Comoe
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
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US Comoe

(Away)
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
US Comoe
26 Sept
US Comoe
1 : 0
Majestic
19 Sept
ASFA Yennega
1 : 0
US Comoe
17 May
US Comoe
0 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
10 May
Vitesse
2 : 1
US Comoe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Rahimo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 FocuSport 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
5 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 Sonabel Ouagadougou 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
8 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
9 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 ASF Dioulasso 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Sporting Cascades 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)