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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sonabel Ouagadougou host Vitesse in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Vitesse have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Sonabel Ouagadougou have conceded 1 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Sonabel Ouagadougou have won 1 to Vitesse's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.19, favoring Vitesse. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
30%
Draws
35%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vitesse have won more games recently than Sonabel Ouagadougou.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 20%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou Vitesse
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.16
Goals Conceded 1 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Vitesse
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Vitesse
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Premier League
Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:3
Apr 29, 2024 Premier League
Vitesse vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 31 / 100
Vitesse 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Sonabel Ouagadougou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vitesse conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS Vitesse
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Home)
10 Oct
Sporting Cascades
0 : 3
Sonabel Ouagadougou
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
US Comoe
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
11 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 0
US Comoe
03 Oct
Majestic
1 : 3
Vitesse
28 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 ASFA Yennega 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 USFA 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
4 FocuSport 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
5 Vitesse 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 AS Douanes 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Sonabel Ouagadougou 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
9 Maya 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 ASF Dioulasso 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Kadiogo 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Sporting Cascades 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
13 Real Du Faso 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
15 US Comoe 4 1 1 2 1:3 4
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)