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Sonacos vs Pikine

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sonacos
35%
Draws
26%
Pikine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sonacos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pikine have won more games recently than Sonacos.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sonacos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 20%
Pikine Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonacos Pikine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 13 13
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.6 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Pikine
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Sonacos
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Pikine
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Sonacos
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Pikine
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonacos 36 / 100
Pikine 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonacos Pikine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sonacos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Pikine registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sonacos's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pikine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sonacos VS Pikine
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonacos

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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Pikine

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)